STOCK SUPERSTARS ALERT FOR THE WEEK ENDING 10/26/2012

Posted on October 26, 2012 | Stock Superstars Report

Stock Superstars alert for the week ending 10/26/2012 updated.

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Gadget Corner – Samsung Galaxy S III

Posted on October 26, 2012 | Computerized Investing

Samsung’s third phone from its Galaxy series gives the iPhone a run for its money.

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ChartSchool

Posted on October 25, 2012 | Computerized Investing

Avid Computerized Investing readers know that StockCharts.com is a CI favorite for charting and technical analysis education. What makes it one of the best charting websites is that it provides a remarkable amount of valuable information for free.

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AAII Sentiment Survey: Individual Investors A Little Less Pessimistic

Posted on October 25, 2012 | AAII Survey

Individual investors became a little less pessimistic in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey, though bearish sentiment remains at unusually high levels.

Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, edged up 0.6 percentage points to 29.2%. This is the first time since July 26, 2012, that optimism is below 30% on consecutive weeks. It is also the ninth consecutive week and the 29th out of the last 30 weeks that bullish sentiment is below its historical average of 39%.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, rose 0.9 percentage points to 27.7%. This is the first time since March 22, 2012, that neutral sentiment is below 30% on consecutive weeks. The historical average is 31%.

Bearish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, declined 1.5 percentage points to 43.1%. This is the first time since July 26, 2012, that pessimism is above 40% on consecutive weeks. It is also the ninth consecutive week and the 25th out of the last 29 weeks that bearish sentiment has been above its historical average of 30%.

Year-to-date, bullish sentiment has averaged 35.9%. This puts bullish sentiment on pace for its lowest average weekly reading since 2008, when optimism averaged 34.1%.

Bearish sentiment remains at unusually, but not extraordinarily, high levels. The recent downside volatility and lackluster third-quarter earnings season is further dampening the moods of those investors who were already concerned about the pace of economic growth, Europe’s sovereign debt problems and the possibility of the fiscal cliff occurring. It is also possible that nervousness about the outcome of the election is having some impact on the results.

This week’s special question asked AAII members if the stock market is presently fairly valued, undervalued or overvalued. Slightly less than half of the respondents said the market was overvalued. The current or expected level of corporate earnings was the primary reason why they thought stocks were too expensive, though many cited the economy, the Federal Reserve’s monetary stimulus and the possibility of the fiscal cliff occurring as their rationale. About a third of respondents thought stocks are fairly valued, while acknowledging the potential for downside movement in stock prices. A few respondents cited the outcome of the election as impacting how they viewed valuations.

This week’s AAII Sentiment Survey results:

  • Bullish: 29.2%, up 0.6 percentage points
  • Neutral: 27.7%, up 0.9 percentage points
  • Bearish: 43.1%, down 1.5 percentage points

Historical averages:

  • Bullish: 39%
  • Neutral: 31%
  • Bearish: 30%

The AAII Sentiment Survey has been conducted weekly since July 1987 and asks AAII members whether they think stock prices will rise, remain essentially flat, or fall over the next six months. The survey period runs from Thursday (12:01 a.m.) to Wednesday (11:59 p.m.) The survey and its results are available online at: http://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey



Upcoming Chapter Meeting: AAII Boston

Posted on October 25, 2012 | Local Chapters


Date: Thursday, November 1, 2012
Topic: The Best Investment Opportunities in Today’s Markets for an Economy Approaching the Fiscal Cliff
Speaker: Harry “Hersh” Cohen, Chief Investment Officer and Senior Portfolio Manager, ClearBridge Advisors, Legg Mason Inc.

Investing legend Harry “Hersh” Cohen will use all of his 43 years of investing experience to break down and simplify some of the most convoluted and important economic and investment-related topics of our time. The presentation will begin by covering a number of different macro issues including the economic and housing outlook, the upcoming fiscal cliff and the likely impact of our upcoming election winners. From there, Hersh will compile this information and give us his impression on the likely overall outcome and how these issues will affect each individual going forward. Concluding the presentation, Hersh will identify where he feels the best investment areas will be in 2013 and he will give us his favorite specific long-term investment plays.

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Charles Dow’s Theory Still Valid for the 21st Century

Posted on October 24, 2012 | AAII Journal

Dow Theory relies on both the Dow Jones industrial average and the Dow Jones transportation average to determine whether a true market trend exists.

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CI DOWNLOAD OF THE WEEK

Posted on October 24, 2012 | Computerized Investing

AVG AntiVirus 2013 is one of the largest players in the security software market, and delivers some of the best anti-virus products out there.

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Sell of the week 10/24/2012

Posted on October 24, 2012 | Podcast

AAII Journal Editor Charles Rotblut explains to Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch why HMS Holdings Corp. (HMSY) is his “Sell of the Week” on the MoneyLife Radio Program. MoneyLife is a daily personal finance show that sorts through the financial clutter to bring you the information you need to lead the MoneyLife.

Audio url: Sell of the week





AAII WEEKLY FEATURES 10/23/2012

Posted on October 23, 2012 | Weekly Features

This week’s AAII Weekly Features has been updated.
View this week’s Top AAII Articles, Featured Stock Screen and Member Question.

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What to Look for When Selecting a Trustee for Your Estate Plan

Posted on October 23, 2012 | Financial Planning

Selecting the people to carry out the provisions of an estate plan is one of the most important and difficult tasks involved in the estate planning process. It is impossible to make a proper selection of any member of the estate planning team without understanding, in general terms, what it is the individual should be doing and how that person interacts with others who have important roles to fulfill.

A trustee is the person or institution named in a trust agreement to carry out the objectives and follow the terms of the trust. A trustee can be a non-professional individual, a professional individual (such as an attorney, an accountant or an investment adviser), or a corporate fiduciary (such as a bank or corporate advisory firm). They need not be related, and in some circumstances it is inadvisable to select a close relative.

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