Sitelight and Reader Survey

Posted on December 24, 2012 | Computerized Investing

Real Time Economics – Real Time Economics is a website that contains exclusive news, analysis and commentary on the economy, Federal Reserve policy and general economic topics.

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This Week’s Question

Do you read or consider an app’s privacy policy before installing it on your mobile device?

A) Yes
B) No

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12/22/2012 automatic update and SSG files are available

Posted on December 22, 2012 | Stock Investor Pro

Automatic update for Stock Investor Pro and SSG files as of 12/22/2012 are available.

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CI Weekly Features: December 22, 2012

Posted on December 22, 2012 | Computerized Investing

The Top Online Portfolio Trackers
An in-depth look at the best websites for tracking your portfolio’s gains and losses and measuring its performance.

The Put-Call Ratio
An explanation of a sentiment indicator that can signal potential market tops and bottoms.

GoDocs for Google Docs and Google Drive for iOS
Read, edit, download and share Google Docs from your iOS device.

Gadget Corner – Qlocktwo Classic & Qlocktwo Touch

An analog wall and desk clock that puts time in words.

Sitelight – Real Time Economics

Real Time Economics is a website that contains exclusive news, analysis and commentary on the economy, Federal Reserve policy and general economic topics.

Featured Download – Vertex 42 Debt Reduction Calculator

The Debt Reduction Calculator is a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet that helps you plan how to reduce credit card debt, auto loans, student loans and other debts.

This Week’s Question

Do you read or consider an app’s privacy policy before installing it on your mobile device?

A) Yes
B) No

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STOCK SUPERSTARS ALERT FOR THE WEEK ENDING 12/21/2012

Posted on December 21, 2012 | Stock Superstars Report

Stock Superstars alert for the week ending 12/21/2012 updated.

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DIVIDEND INVESTING ALERT FOR THE WEEK ENDING 12/21/2012

Posted on December 21, 2012 | Dividend Investing

Dividend Investing alert for the week ending 12/21/2012 updated.

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Lower Liquidity Can Boost Returns

Posted on December 21, 2012 | Investor Update

There is arguably a fifth investment style in addition to the commonly followed growth, value, momentum and size styles: liquidity. The liquidity style focuses on buying stocks that trade with less volume. Rather than buying the glamour stocks, whose names are familiar to most, liquidity-style investors look for stocks few people are talking about or trading.

There is evidence to suggest that there are monetary benefits to not following the herd. A working paper by Yale Professors Roger Ibbotson and Zhiwu Chen and Research Analysts Daniel Kim and Wendy Hu finds that among the 3,500 companies with the largest market capitalizations, those stocks with the lowest level of liquidity have delivered annualized returns of 14.5% over the last 31 years (1971-2011). This is double the 7.24% annualized return realized by stocks with the highest level of liquidity. Lower liquidity stocks also outperformed stocks with the strongest momentum (12.8%) and stocks with the smallest market capitalization (13.0%). Only seeking out stocks with the lowest valuation would have given you better performance (16.1%).

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GADGET CORNER – Qlocktwo Classic & Qlocktwo Touch

Posted on December 21, 2012 | Computerized Investing

An analog wall and desk clock that puts time in words.

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AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism at Second-Highest Level of 2012

Posted on December 20, 2012 | AAII Survey

Bullish sentiment rose to its second-highest level of the year, as bearish sentiment fell for the fourth time in the past five weeks in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey.

Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 3.2 percentage points to 46.4%. This is the highest level of optimism registered by our survey since February 9, 2012. It is also the fourth consecutive week that bullish sentiment has been above its historical average of 39%.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged, rose 2.1 percentage points to 28.8%. Even with the increase, neutral sentiment remains below its historical average of 30.5% for the 10th consecutive week.

Bearish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, fell 5.3 percentage points to 24.8%. This is the lowest level of pessimism registered by our survey since February 9, 2012. It is also the first time bearish sentiment has been below its historical average of 30.5% on consecutive weeks since August 23, 2012.

Though bullish sentiment is near its high and bearish sentiment is near its low for the year, both remain well within their typical long-term ranges. Optimism seems high right now because pessimism has been above average for most of this year.

Individual investors’ short-term outlook for stock prices has improved over the past few weeks, however. A rebound in stock prices, monetary stimulus, continued economic growth and seasonality are all playing a role. Likely also helping is the crowding out of other potentially negative news headlines by the ongoing fiscal cliff negotiations.

This week’s special question asked AAII members how the Federal Reserve’s announcement of more bond purchases and introduction of an unemployment rate target impacted their sentiment towards stock. About 40% of respondents said it helps the stocks. Roughly 20% thought it would not have much of an impact. Some respondents said they thought the market has become dependent on monetary stimulus, inflation is a worry or that the recent announcement is bad for bond prices. A few respondents said the fiscal cliff negotiations are having a bigger impact on their short-term outlook.

This week’s AAII Sentiment Survey results:

  • Bullish: 46.4%, up 3.2 percentage points
  • Neutral: 28.8%, up 2.1 percentage points
  • Bearish: 24.8%, down 5.3 percentage points
Historical averages:
  • Bullish: 39.0%
  • Neutral: 30.5%
  • Bearish: 30.5%

The AAII Sentiment Survey has been conducted weekly since July 1987 and asks AAII members whether they think stock prices will rise, remain essentially flat, or fall over the next six months. The survey period runs from Thursday (12:01 a.m.) to Wednesday (11:59 p.m.) The survey and its results are available online at: http://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey



AAII WEEKLY FEATURES 12/19/2012

Posted on December 19, 2012 | Weekly Features

This week’s AAII Weekly Features has been updated.
View this week’s Top AAII Articles, Featured Stock Screen and Member Question.

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Sell of the week 12/19/2012

Posted on December 19, 2012 | Podcast

AAII Journal Editor Charles Rotblut explains to Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch why Darden Restaurants (DRI) is his “Sell of the Week” on the MoneyLife Radio Program. MoneyLife is a daily personal finance show that sorts through the financial clutter to bring you the information you need to lead the MoneyLife.

Audio url: Sell of the week





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