STOCK SUPERSTARS ALERT FOR THE WEEK ENDING 3/29/2013

Posted on March 29, 2013 | Stock Superstars Report

Stock Superstars alert for the week ending 3/29/2013 updated.

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AAII Sentiment Survey: Both Optimism and Pessimism Below Average

Posted on March 29, 2013 | AAII Survey


Individual investors became both less optimistic and less pessimistic in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. This is the first reading since last August to show both bullish and bearish sentiment below their historical averages at the same time.

Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, declined 0.5 percentage points to 38.4%. This is the fourth time in five weeks that bullish sentiment is below its historical average of 39.0%.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, spiked by 5.2 percentage points to 33.0%. This is just the second time since October 11, 2012, that neutral sentiment is above its historical average of 30.5%.

Bearish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, fell 4.7 percentage points to 28.7%. This is the first time in six weeks that bearish sentiment is below its historical average of 30.5%.

It has been unusual over the past few years to see both bullish and bearish sentiment below their respective historical averages on the same week. Though this week’s readings are only modestly below their respective averages, they are indicative of the mixed thoughts individual investors have about the length of the current rally. While seeing the major indexes trade near record or multi-year highs has prompted some AAII members to be more optimistic about the short-term direction of stock prices, others fret that stocks are overbought and are due for a pullback. Also impacting sentiment are mixed views about the pace of economic growth and ongoing frustration with Washington.

This week’s special question asked AAII members what influence the European sovereign debt crisis is having on their short-term outlook for stocks. About 40% of respondents said the debt problems were either causing them to be pessimistic or at least more pessimistic than they were six months ago. Nearly 32% of respondents said the crisis was not influencing their outlook for U.S. stocks, however. A few respondents said there is no change in terms of how the ongoing crisis is impacting their short-term outlook for stocks from last year.

Here is a sampling of the responses:

  • “I am concerned, but I hope it will not have a serious impact on the U.S. stock market.”
  • “I’m very cautious. I don’t trust the politicians or the central bankers.”
  • “The European debt crisis has been going on for some time and the longer it lasts, the less worried I become.”
  • “None. Since the eurozone crisis began a couple of years ago, I sold all of my foreign holdings.”
  • “Relative to last year, not much as has changed in my thinking. I was pessimistic then and nothing has changed my view now.”

This week’s AAII Sentiment Survey:

  • Bullish: 38.4%, down 0.5 percentage points
  • Neutral: 33.0%, up 5.2 percentage points
  • Bearish: 28.7%, down 4.7 percentage points

*Due to rounding, the numbers displayed above add up to 100.1%. If more decimal points were displayed, the numbers would add up to 100%.

Historical averages:

  • Bullish: 39.0%
  • Neutral: 30.6%
  • Bearish: 30.6%

The AAII Sentiment Survey has been conducted weekly since July 1987 and asks AAII members whether they think stock prices will rise, remain essentially flat, or fall over the next six months. The survey period runs from Thursday (12:01 a.m.) to Wednesday (11:59 p.m.) The survey and its results are available online at: http://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey



DIVIDEND INVESTING ALERT FOR THE WEEK ENDING

Posted on March 28, 2013 | Dividend Investing

As you likely know by now, the S&P 500 index is ending March on a record high mark.

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Annuities Sometimes Make Sense

Posted on March 28, 2013 | Investor Update

A friend asked for my opinion about annuities during dinner Monday night. He is nearing retirement and he followed his adviser’s suggestion to move some of his savings to annuities, but was curious to hear my opinion. I responded that under the right circumstances, annuities do make sense.

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Sell of the week 3/27/2013

Posted on March 27, 2013 | Podcast

AAII Journal Editor Charles Rotblut Editor explains to Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch why Lululemon (LULU) is his “Sell of the Week” on the MoneyLife Radio Program. MoneyLife is a daily personal finance show that sorts through the financial clutter to bring you the information you need to lead the MoneyLife.

Audio url: Sell of the week





Buy of the Week 3/26/2013

Posted on March 26, 2013 | Podcast

AAII Journal Editor Charles Rotblut explains to Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch why Qualcomm (QCOM) is his “Buy of the Week” on the MoneyLife Radio Program. MoneyLife is a daily personal finance show that sorts through the financial clutter to bring you the information you need to lead the MoneyLife.

Audio url: Buy of the Week





Sitelight and Reader Survey

Posted on March 25, 2013 | Computerized Investing

Investimonials.com – Investimonials.com highlights the best financial products for investors through user reviews and forums.

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This Week’s Question

Would you buy a “smartwatch” that links to your Smartphone to receive alerts about incoming text messages, emails or phone calls?

A) Yes
B) No

Click Here to Answer »



CI Download of the Week

Posted on March 25, 2013 | Computerized Investing

XLQ Update 4.8 – XLQ is an updated download we have reviewed in the past that delivers free live, intraday and historical worldwide stock market data from the Internet directly to your computer.

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Screening With the Big, Safe Dividend Formula

Posted on March 25, 2013 | Computerized Investing

Charles Carlson’s stock-picking approach seeks stocks with above-average growth potential and a safe and growing dividend.

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DIVIDEND INVESTING ALERT FOR THE WEEK ENDING

Posted on March 22, 2013 | Dividend Investing

If you went only by the headlines, you would quickly come to the conclusion that the problems in Cyprus are a big deal.

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