BUY OF THE WEEK 4/30/2013

Posted on April 30, 2013 | Podcast

AAII Journal Editor Charles Rotblut explains to Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch why Employers Holdings Inc. (EIG) is his “Buy of the Week” on the MoneyLife Radio Program. MoneyLife is a daily personal finance show that sorts through the financial clutter to bring you the information you need to lead the MoneyLife.

Audio url: Buy of the Week





The First Quarter 2013 issue of QMFU is now available on-line

Posted on April 29, 2013 | Quarterly Mutual Fund Update

The First Quarter’s Bull Run

Investors in stock funds were singing The Cars’ famous tune, “Let the Good Times Roll,” last quarter. U.S stocks enjoyed their best start to a year since 1998. Several market benchmarks reached new record highs, including the Dow Jones industrial average and the S&P SmallCap 600 index. The widespread gains resulted in 10 domestic stock fund categories posting average first-quarter gains of 10% or more.

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DIVIDEND INVESTING ALERT FOR THE WEEK ENDING

Posted on April 26, 2013 | Dividend Investing

Several DI stocks reported first-quarter earnings this week.

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STOCK SUPERSTARS ALERT FOR THE WEEK ENDING 4/26/2013

Posted on April 26, 2013 | Stock Superstars Report

Stock Superstars alert for the week ending 4/26/2013 updated.

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Why I Don’t Use Stop Orders

Posted on April 25, 2013 | Investor Update

I don’t use stop orders. (Most commonly, these are standing orders to sell a stock if it falls below a specified price.) My avoidance of them has nothing to do with my investing style, but rather because of the influence that software code has on intraday moves of the market. Tuesday’s events give an example of why I think human intervention should remain a critical part of any buy or sell decision.

As you may have heard, hackers hijacked The Associated Press’ Twitter account. The hackers then sent out a tweet at 1:07 ET Tuesday afternoon reporting an explosion at the White House and an injury to President Barack Obama. The reaction in the market was swift, with the S&P 500 falling by nearly 1% over the next three minutes following the tweet.

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AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Drops, But Investors Still Bearish

Posted on April 25, 2013 | AAII Survey

Though bearish sentiment pulled back to within its normal range, individual investors remain pessimistic overall about the short-term direction of stock prices, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey.

Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 1.4 percentage points to 28.3%. Even with the increase, optimism remained below its historical average of 39% for the sixth consecutive week. This is the longest such streak since August 30, 2012, through November 22, 2012.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, jumped 8.0 percentage points to 32.9%. The historical average is 30.5%.

Bearish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, fell 9.4 percentage points to 38.8%. Since spiking to 54.5% on April 11, 2013, pessimism has pulled back by a cumulative 15.7 percentage points. Nonetheless, bearish sentiment remains above its historical average of 30.5%.

The improvement in bullish sentiment puts it right at one standard deviation below its historical average, or the tip of where we would consider it to be unusually low. The decline in bearish sentiment puts it back within the typical range of readings we have seen throughout the survey’s history.

Though bearish sentiment declined for the second consecutive week, more individual investors remain pessimistic than optimistic about the short-term direction of stock prices. Concerns that stock prices have moved too far, too fast, the recent increase in market volatility, slow earnings growth, mixed views about the pace of economic growth and ongoing frustration with Washington are all playing a role.

This week’s special question asked AAII members how attractive U.S. stocks are relative to other asset classes, such as bonds, foreign stocks and precious metals. Slightly more than half of all respondents (52%) said U.S. stocks were the most attractive asset class. About 10% said foreign stocks are more attractive. Approximately one-quarter of respondents (26%) described U.S. stocks as overvalued, overbought or not attractive, however.

This week’s AAII Sentiment Survey results:

  • Bullish: 28.3%, up 1.4 percentage points
  • Neutral: 32.9%, up 8.0 percentage points
  • Bearish: 38.8%, down 9.4 percentage points

Historical averages:

  • Bullish: 39.0%
  • Neutral: 30.6%
  • Bearish: 30.6%

The AAII Sentiment Survey has been conducted weekly since July 1987 and asks AAII members whether they think stock prices will rise, remain essentially flat, or fall over the next six months. The survey period runs from Thursday (12:01 a.m.) to Wednesday (11:59 p.m.) The survey and its results are available online at: http://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey



Sell of the week 4/24/2013

Posted on April 24, 2013 | Podcast

AAII Journal Editor Charles Rotblut Editor explains to Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch why J.C. Penney Company (JCP) is his “Sell of the Week” on the MoneyLife Radio Program. MoneyLife is a daily personal finance show that sorts through the financial clutter to bring you the information you need to lead the MoneyLife.

Audio url: Sell of the week





BUY OF THE WEEK 4/23/2013

Posted on April 23, 2013 | Podcast

AAII Journal Editor Charles Rotblut explains to Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch why UFP Technologies (UFPT) is his “Buy of the Week” on the MoneyLife Radio Program. MoneyLife is a daily personal finance show that sorts through the financial clutter to bring you the information you need to lead the MoneyLife.

Audio url: Buy of the Week





AAII WEEKLY FEATURES 4/23/2013

Posted on April 23, 2013 | Weekly Features


This week’s AAII Weekly Features has been updated.
View this week’s Top AAII Articles, Featured Stock Screen and Member Question.
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DIVIDEND INVESTING ALERT FOR THE WEEK ENDING

Posted on April 19, 2013 | Dividend Investing

The domestic stock market is considered one of the most effective discounting mechanisms.

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