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Two Traits that Give Active Mutual Funds an Edge

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Investor-Update

American Funds says that some actively managed funds are better than passive (index) funds. Specifically, the company argues that actively managed funds with low expense ratios and high levels of manager ownership (a group that Amercian Funds calls “Select Active”) outperform their index peers. The outperformance is evident over one-, three-, five-, and 10-year rolling periods. I’ll discuss the returns first, followed by the criteria and the caveats to the analysis.

Select Active funds topped the S&P 500 index by an average of 0.30% over rolling one-year periods. Over longer periods, the annualized average advantage for the Select Active funds was 0.70% for rolling three-year periods, 1.04% for rolling five-year periods and 1.07% for rolling 10-year periods. Those funds topped the large-cap index 55%, 64%, 77% and 95% of the time during the respective periods. The analysis was run from January 1996 through December 2015. (A summary of the findings is available on the American Funds website.)

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Bearish sentiment is now down a cumulative 25 percentage points since early February, and is at a new low for the year. More about this week’s results.

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The Week Ahead

As a reminder, the U.S. financial markets will be closed tomorrow in observance of Good Friday. On behalf of everyone at AAII, I wish those who are observing the holiday a Happy Easter.

A small number of S&P 500 member companies will report earnings next week: Lennar Corp. (LEN) and McCormick & Co. (MKC) on Tuesday and Carnival Corp. (CCL), Micron Technology (MU) and Paychex (PAYX) on Wednesday.

The first economic reports of note will be January international trade data, February personal spending and income and the National Association of Realtors’ February pending home sales index. These will be released on Monday. Tuesday will feature the January Case-Shiller home price index and the Conference Board’s March Consumer Confidence index. The March ADP Employment Report will be released on Wednesday. Thursday will feature the March Chicago PMI. March employment data (including the change in nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate), the ISM’s March manufacturing survey, the University of Michigan’s final March consumer sentiment survey and February construction spending will be released on Friday.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen will speak on Tuesday. Also speaking will be San Francisco president John Williams and Dallas president Rob Kaplan on Tuesday; Chicago president Charles Evans on Wednesday and Thursday; New York president William Dudley on Thursday; and Cleveland president Loretta Mester on Friday.

The Treasury Department will auction $26 billion of two-year notes on Monday, $34 billion of five-year notes on Tuesday and $28 billion of seven-year notes on Wednesday.

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