One-Quarter of Investors Believe Brexit Will Adversely Affect Stocks in Europe or Globally

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what impact Brexit is having on their outlook for the financial markets. A little less than half of all respondents (47%) say it is having little or no impact. An additional 5% don’t expect it to adversely affect U.S. stocks. Nearly 21% of respondents believe Brexit…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Holds Above Average

Pessimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of stock prices remains above average in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Optimism rebounded while neutral sentiment was slightly changed. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 4.1 percentage points to 37.7%. Optimism is below its historical average of 38.5%…

 

AAII Survey: Investors’ Outlook for U.S. Economy

The U.S. stock market has been enjoying a resurgence after December’s sell-off. Since their Christmas Eve lows, the Dow Jones industrial average has rebounded 13.4%, the S&P 500 index is up 13.6% and the Nasdaq composite has added 15.6% through the close on January 18. While investors shouldn’t worry too much about upside volatility, the…

 

Investors Foresee 2019 Stock Prices Influenced by Trade and Politics

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what they thought would most influence the direction of stock prices in 2019. Nearly tied were trade (38% of all respondents) and Washington politics (37%). Responses regarding trade focused mainly on China, with some AAII members saying it depends on whether a settlement is reached. Responses…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Rebounds

Pessimism about the short-term direction of the stock market among individual investors rebounded in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Both optimism and neutral sentiment fell back below their respective averages. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, pulled back by 4.9 percentage points to 33.5%. Optimism is below its…

 

AAII Survey: Would You Invest $10,000 in the Stock Market Right Now?

It seems that the U.S. stock market has moved passed December’s abysmal performance, at least for now. Nearly half-way through January, the iShares Dow Jones U.S. ETF (IYY) is up nearly 11% from its Christmas Eve low. In fact, through the close on January 9, the Dow Jones industrial average and S&P 500 index had logged their…

 

Nearly Half of Investors Expect an Increase in the S&P 500 in 2019

Last week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members how big of a percentage gain or loss the S&P 500 index will realize in 2019. Just under 45% of respondents expect an increase, though about half of them anticipate gains of 5% or less. Economic growth, earnings growth and the possibility of a resolution to…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Plunges

Pessimism among individual investors, which had been holding at a high level, plunged to its lowest level in more than three months in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Both bullish and neutral sentiment rose strongly. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 5.4 percentage points to 38.5%. This…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Pulls Back, But Stays High

Pessimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of the stock market is above 40% for the fourth consecutive week and the fifth time in seven weeks. The latest AAII Sentiment Survey also shows rebounds in optimism and neutral sentiment. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 1.5…