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Investor Update

An AAII member called last week asking for guidance on how to create price targets. Though very much a fair question to ask, it is not a question that’s very easy to answer. Do a search on Google for “how to determine a stock’s target price” and you’ll get 151,000 results....

Investor Update

Momentum indicators are commonly used to find winners. Winners are stocks with comparatively higher price returns. In normal market conditions, momentum indicators work well on an aggregate basis. Momentum indicators can lose their usefulness in turbulent market conditions, in...

Investor Update

Mr. Market started 2016 on the wrong foot, and his mood has gotten worse throughout this month. Barring a big rebound next week, this will be the third consecutive year the S&P 500 has declined in January—something that has only happened two other times since 1950. The index...

Investor Update

Winning the lottery or otherwise suddenly coming into a large sum of money creates a set of challenges from a financial and estate planning standpoint. While it’s a problem many of us would like to have, it is a challenge nonetheless. Just one or two improper decisions at the...

Investor Update

Financial events on both sides of the Pacific Ocean are testing the ability of us humans to keep our emotions out of our financial decisions. On one side we have fear, with China’s stock market plunge. On the other side, we have greed, with the Powerball jackpot now worth an...

Investor Update

This is the fifth consecutive year I’m publishing a list of New Year’s resolutions for investors. The list started in 2012 with just eight resolutions and has now officially doubled. Given the growing length of this list, I’m going to avoid discussing what the market looks...

Investor Update

Much of the chatter about yesterday’s interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve overlooks two key points. First, over the past 61 years, stocks have tended to rise during the 12-month period following the first rate hike. Secondly, it’s different this time. Put asterisks by...

Investor Update

Companies are very aware of our tendency, as humans, to overestimate the odds of making money. They use this to their advantage by pitching products and services as money-making opportunities that in reality are highly effective tools for separating us from our money. One bad idea...

Investor Update

A part of the process for managing your finances that is easy to overlook is protecting your digital assets. Not your online persona (e.g., “Fly Fishing Bill”), but your records, statements, passwords, etc. Computer viruses, malware and identity theft are certainly...

Investor Update

With about five weeks left to go in 2015, now is a good time to give your tax situation a review. You will have enough time to take any desired action if you analyze your taxes now. You’ll also have the ability to start planning for 2016. A good place to start is to look at your...