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Geopolitical and International Events Affect Stock Outlook for Two in Five Surveyed Members

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what impact geopolitical and international events are having on their outlook for stocks. More than two out five respondents (42%) said such events are having a negative impact, are a cause of a concern or otherwise making them more cautious. Conversely, nearly 30% said geopolitical and international events are either not impacting their outlook or only having a small impact. About 8% said they are investing more in international stocks. North Korea was specifically mentioned by many respondents, as was President Trump.

Here is a sampling of the responses:

  • “I am very concerned with the East Asia situation, but a little relieved with the European situation.”
  • “Aside from a black swan event, not that much. I suppose a mess in North Korea would be quite negative.”
  • “I am worried about an international event causing the market to overreact.”
  • “I don’t think geopolitical/international events have any major impact on U.S. stocks.”
  • “International equity returns should begin to improve.”
  • “Domestic economic progress is likely to be stymied by corrupt leadership across the board in Washington.”

Want to weigh in? Take the survey yourself and see results online at
http://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey.

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