Half of Investors Say Market Outlook Is Unchanged by Middle East Turmoil

This week’s AAII Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what type of impact, if any, the current events in the Middle East are having on their six-month outlook for stock prices. Nearly half of respondents (49%) said the events so far were either not impacting or having a very small impact on their outlook. Slightly more than one out of five respondents (21%) said the events were either causing them to reduce their expectations about how stocks will perform or were a cause for concern. Just 12% said they were more bearish because of the events in the Middle East. Some members noted that their outlooks would change if geopolitical events worsened.

Here is a sampling of the responses:

  • “None. There is always something going on somewhere. I just tune it out.”
  • “I would expect oil and gas prices to go up, creating a slight drag on the economy.”
  • “Currently none, but things can change quickly over there.”
  • “Some concern changing my sentiment on the market from bullish to neutral.”
  • “Major impact due to possibilities of expanded conflicts.”

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