This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members how they view the overall sentiment reflected by the market so far this year. Responses were very mixed. Just under a quarter of all respondents (24%) describe investors as being either cautious or uncertain. Many of these respondents point to the unknown outcomes of trade negotiations as well as the political backdrop in Washington. Nearly 13% of respondents view sentiment as either being optimistic or somewhat optimistic. Almost 10% say investors are too pessimistic. About 12% view sentiment as being too optimistic. Conversely, 4% think sentiment is too pessimistic.
Here is a sampling of the responses:
- “I think investors are hopeful but unsure that the market will post gains in 2019.”
- “I see it as cautiously optimistic but believe the U.S. will iron out the trade issues with China and that the market will react favorably.”
- “My opinion is that sentiment still seems a bit dour when it comes to individual and institutional investors.”
- “The market is reflecting uncertainty about the future due to the political environment and slowing global growth.”
- “The rally since Christmas doesn’t appear to consider the high price-earnings (P/E) ratios across most of the market.”
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