Oil Price Declines Fail to Alter Market Outlook for Majority of Investors


This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members how oil prices are impacting their outlook for the overall stock market. Slightly over half of all respondents (53%) say oil prices are not influencing their outlook. Approximately 15% of respondents think the decline in prices is bad for stocks, with an additional 3% saying the low prices are specifically bad for energy stocks. Conversely, 14% of respondents view low oil prices as being good for stocks and the economy.

Here is a sampling of the responses:

  • “Oil prices are not affecting my market outlook, except for the petroleum sector.”
  • “Oil prices will have little impact, being too small of a factor compared to other market forces.”
  • “Rule of thumb is down oil, down market. Less oil consumption translates to lower economic activity.”
  • “Lower prices are a symptom of a slowing global economy.”
  • “Lower oil prices mean more money for consumers.”

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