Opinions Mixed About Influences on Stock Price Direction


This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what they thought would most influence the direction of stock prices this year. There was not a consensus agreement. Slightly more than one out of every five respondents (22%) said the direction and level of oil prices would be a key driver of stock prices. A nearly equal number (20%) said interest rates and U.S. monetary policy will have a big impact. The economy (primarily job growth and the pace of expansion) was a close third, named by 19% of respondents. About 14% of respondents thought geopolitical events—including those in Russia, Ukraine, the Middle East and North Korea—could impact stock prices.



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