This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what they thought would most influence the direction of stock prices this year. There was not a consensus agreement. Slightly more than one out of every five respondents (22%) said the direction and level of oil prices would be a key driver of stock prices. A nearly equal number (20%) said interest rates and U.S. monetary policy will have a big impact. The economy (primarily job growth and the pace of expansion) was a close third, named by 19% of respondents. About 14% of respondents thought geopolitical events—including those in Russia, Ukraine, the Middle East and North Korea—could impact stock prices.