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Policy Will Influence Stock Prices the Most, Say One-Third of Polled Investors

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what they thought will most influence the direction of stock prices in 2017. More than a third of all respondents (37%) said the policies instituted by the Trump administration and the legislation passed by the Republican-controlled Congress. Tax reform was listed by 18% of respondents, while deregulation and federal spending were each cited by 5% of respondents. Beyond the political arena, slightly more than 9% of respondents said earnings will influence stock prices, 8% said monetary policy and 6% said consumer sentiment. Some respondents gave more than one factor in their answers.

Here is a sampling of the responses:

  • “Actual government changes by the Trump administration versus the high expectations for him.”
  • “President Trump’s economic plans and actions.”
  • “The extent of deregulation and changes in trade policy.”
  • “Federal Reserve actions and passed tax legislation.”
  • “Earnings growth.”

Want to weigh in? Take the survey yourself and see results online at http://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey.

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