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Present International Events Have Low Impact on U.S. Stock Market Outlook

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members how big of an impact international events and news are having on their outlook for the U.S. stock market. Slightly more than two of out five respondents (41%) said international events and news are having little to no impact on their outlook. Many of these respondents said domestic events are more influential, while several others said they focus on the long term or view international events as having only a temporary impact. About 34% of respondents described international events and headlines as having a moderate impact on their outlook. North Korea was frequently mentioned, as this week’s survey period started last Thursday. Approximately 25% said international events were having a significant impact on their outlook, particularly because of the tensions with North Korea. U.S. president Donald Trump was brought up by respondents in all three of the aforementioned groups.

Here is a sampling of the responses:

  • “International news events come and go over the years and are eventually discounted.”
  • “Not too much. President Trump is all bluster.”
  • “Very much, especially the North Korea crisis.”
  • “Some impact, but less than domestic issues.”
  • “Not much for now, but could change if ‘fire and fury’ becomes more likely.”

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