With the Sentiment Survey over the holidays we asked AAII members how big a percentage gain or loss the S&P 500 would realize this year. Nearly two-thirds of respondents (65%) anticipate stocks to rise. Slightly more than 20% of respondents think that the increase will be less than 5%, while 31% expect gains of between 5% and 10%. Nearly 29% of respondents expect declines. About 13% think that the market will fall between 5% and 15%, while 6% fret that the S&P 500 could plunge by more than 20% this year.
Want to weigh in? Take the survey yourself and see results online at http://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey.
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