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Support for the concept of the post-election (“Trump”) rally borrowing gains from 2017 can be found in our Sentiment Survey. Optimism was both unusually low (a bullish sign) and unusually high (a bearish sign) in recent weeks. Though seemingly contradictory, the two...

Last month’s Asset Allocation Survey special question asked AAII members whether changes in bond yields or the Federal Reserve’s target for interest rates have a bigger impact on their allocation decisions. Just under half of all respondents (49%) said neither changes in bond...

Individual investors have reduced their cash holdings, on a percentage basis, to the smallest amount since the spring of 2015, according to the November AAII Asset Allocation Survey. Fixed-income allocations declined as well. Conversely, equity allocations rose to their second-highest...

Sometimes, the market does the hard work for you. Such is the case with my 403(b) account, which is similar to a 401(k) account. Over the weekend, I looked at it for the first time in six months. I could have easily skipped doing so because Mr. Market took care of things for me....

This month’s Asset Allocation Survey special question asked AAII members what, if any, investment decisions they are postponing until after the outcome of the election is known. Slightly more than one out of three respondents (35%) said they are not postponing any decisions. Many...

Individual investors’ cash allocations rebounded to a five-month high last month, according to the October AAII Asset Allocation Survey. Fixed-income allocations also rose, while equity allocations declined. Stock and stock fund allocations declined 0.6 percentage points, to 64.7%....

Higher levels of confidence about one’s ability to invest lead to worse returns. I realize that this may seem counterintuitive to some of you, but this is the conclusion of a study accepted by the Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance (an earlier version of the study...

This week’s Asset Allocation Survey special question asked AAII members what asset class (or classes) they would invest in today if given $50,000. Slightly more than half of all respondents (51%) said stocks. Dividend-paying stocks were particularly mentioned for their quarterly...

Fixed-income allocations among individual investors fell last month to their lowest level in over a year. The September AAII Asset Allocation Survey also shows a decline in equity allocations and a rebound in cash allocations. Stock and stock fund allocations declined 1.2 percentage...

One of the fuzzier numbers in retirement planning is how much a person should save. Put another way, how much does an individual need to set aside each year to fund retirement expenses? It’s a function of projected expenditures, sources of other income (e.g., Social Security,...