AAII Journal January 2017 Issue Now Available

Feature Article: Downward Estimate Revisions Screen Tops Unconventional Year Bucking its historical trend during a year marked by unusual events, Estimates Revisions Lowest 30 Down was the top-performing AAII screen of 2016.   In This Issue: Stock Strategies: Deep Value Investing Has Not Gone Out of Style An updated version of Benjamin Graham’s Deep Value…

 

Those 2017 Fed Forecasts May Prove to Be Wrong

There are two questions investors may have following yesterday’s rate hike. The first is: What happens next? The second is: What do I do now? The short answers are: Don’t put too much faith into the forecasts and enjoy the marginally higher level of interest income, but don’t make big changes. I will expound on…

 

How to Keep Headlines From Driving Your Portfolio Decisions

On behalf of everyone at AAII, I want to say thank you to all of you who have served or are currently serving in the military. The stock market will be open Friday, Veterans Day, but banks and government offices will be closed. Big, unexpected events commonly trigger strong emotional reactions. The wiring in our…

 

AAII Model Portfolios: Third-Quarter Model Fund Portfolio Review & Portfolio Updates

The October AAII Model Portfolio Update is now available online.   Following his October quarterly portfolio review, James Cloonan did not make any changes in the holdings of the AAII Model Fund Portfolio. September and Third Quarter in Review Looking back, the third calendar quarter of 2016 turned out to be the best one yet…

 

Too Much Confidence Is Bad for Your Portfolio

Higher levels of confidence about one’s ability to invest lead to worse returns. I realize that this may seem counterintuitive to some of you, but this is the conclusion of a study accepted by the Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance (an earlier version of the study is available on SSRN). It’s yet another example of…

 

AAII Journal October 2016 Issue

The October 2016 AAII Journal is Now Available Online. Feature Article: What the Evolving Robo Advisory Industry Offers Acquisitions and new, large entrants have altered the competitive landscape, but robo-advisors continue to focus on providing low-cost portfolio management services.   Also in This Issue: Portfolio Strategies: Active Management Stinks, But It Doesn’t Have To Active approaches…

 

Do You Need Growth for Successful Stock Picking?

A new stock screen I created omits one characteristic that may surprise some (or perhaps many) of you: growth. Nothing in the screen requires a passing company to be growing revenues or profits. It is an admitted deviation from how I’ve previously looked for stocks. I’m not alone in omitting growth. The four AAII Stock…

 

Constructing Winning Stock Screens

This week’s AAII Weekly Digest highlights these “must-read” AAII articles: Going From Stock Screen to Real Portfolio Today, quantitative stock-picking screens are just about everywhere. A few clicks on any of a myriad of financial websites, and you’ve got it. AAII and other sites even have a number of guru-inspired screens. But choosing a good strategy…

 

AAII’s Top Articles for April 2016

Here are the Top 10 articles from AAII.com for April 2016 (based on unique page views): The Top 10 Economic Indicators: What to Watch and Why Everyone wants to keep a pulse on the economy, but no one wants to wade through the massive volume of statistics. A look at the top 10 economic indicators…

 

Retirement Readiness is Being Assessed in the Wrong Manner

This week’s AAII Weekly Features highlight these valuable AAII articles: Methods for Valuing a Stock Based on Profitability and Growth: By using different valuation methods, a range can be established for determining whether a stock is cheap or expensive. Retirement Readiness is Being Assessed in the Wrong Manner: No consensus exists on an acceptable risk…