AAII Home AAII Blog

Let’s start this week’s commentary with a hypothetical scenario: A person you trust says they have two stock picks for you. Both stocks are expected to rise in price. The charts for each stock are showing similar formations and the recent news seems equally positive. You only...

Optimism among individual investors jumped to its highest level in more than seven years, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Pessimism, meanwhile is at its lowest level in more than three years. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next...

Special notes: First, on behalf of everyone at AAII, have a happy, healthy and prosperous new year. Both the U.S. financial markets and our offices will be closed on Monday, January 1, in observance of New Year’s Day. Finally, we are in the process of updating our Tax Guide to...

The percentage of individual investors expecting stocks to rise over the next six months is at a level not seen in more than three years. At the same time, the latest AAII Sentiment Survey shows pessimism at its lowest level in more than two years. Bullish sentiment, expectations...

Optimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of stock prices is at its highest level in nearly two years, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. At the same time both neutral and bearish sentiment are lower. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock...

This week notwithstanding, optimism about the short-term direction of the stock market has been below average for 40 out of 50 weeks this year in our AAII Sentiment Survey. Given this trend, I was curious as to how 2017 compares to the 30 previous years tracked by our survey....

Optimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of the stock market is at a five-week high. The latest AAII Sentiment Survey also shows declines in the proportion of individual investors describing their short-term outlook as being “neutral” or “bearish.” Bullish...

In rock ’n’ roll, turning up the volume is not only welcome, but is often outright called for. While headbangers may want the volume cranked up, investors may prefer to have the volume set on low instead. High volume signifies a large amount of interest among investors. Interest...

The percentage of individual investors describing their six-month outlook for stocks as “neutral” is at a five-week low. The latest AAII Sentiment Survey also shows increases in both optimism and pessimism. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the...

As I write this, the full Senate is considering the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). One provision in the Senate’s version of the TCJA impacts the treatment of capital gains. Specifically, the provision would eliminate your ability to specify which lot you sold if you purchased shares...