AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Rebounds

Pessimism about the short-term direction of the stock market among individual investors rebounded in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Both optimism and neutral sentiment fell back below their respective averages. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, pulled back by 4.9 percentage points to 33.5%. Optimism is below its…

 

Brokers Announce New Stock Exchange – What We Know

A new stock exchange was announced on Tuesday. Normally, this would not be particularly noteworthy for most individual investors. What differentiates the Members Exchange (MEMX) is who the founding members are: discount brokers Charles Schwab, E*Trade, Fidelity Investments and TD Ameritrade. Joining them are full-service brokers Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and UBS….

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Plunges

Pessimism among individual investors, which had been holding at a high level, plunged to its lowest level in more than three months in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Both bullish and neutral sentiment rose strongly. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 5.4 percentage points to 38.5%. This…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Pulls Back, But Stays High

Pessimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of the stock market is above 40% for the fourth consecutive week and the fifth time in seven weeks. The latest AAII Sentiment Survey also shows rebounds in optimism and neutral sentiment. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 1.5…

 

21 Investing Resolutions for 2019

Special notes: Our offices will be closed on both Monday, December 31, and Tuesday, January 1. The U.S. bond market will close early (2:00 p.m. Eastern Time) on Monday but the stock exchanges will operate on normal hours. All U.S. financial markets will be closed on Tuesday. On behalf of everyone at AAII, have a…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Half of Individual Investors Are Bearish

Half of individual investors now describe themselves as “bearish” for the first time since 2013. The latest AAII Sentiment Survey shows greater polarization, with neutral sentiment falling to an eight-year low. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rebounded for a second consecutive week, rising 6.7 percentage points to…

 

One or Two Rate Hikes in 2019?

Special note: Our offices will be closed on Monday and Tuesday both next week (December 24 and December 25) and the week after (December 31 and January 1). On behalf of everyone at AAII, we wish a merry Christmas to the many of you who will be celebrating the holiday and a happy, healthy and…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Declines, But Still High

Though pessimism declined and optimism among individual investors rebounded in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey, they remain unusually high and low, respectively. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rebounded by 4.0 percentage points to 24.9%. Optimism remains below its historical average of 38.5% for the 13th time in…

 

An Updated Look at the Yield Curve and Stock Market Volatility

Last week, the yield on the five-year Treasury note fell below that of the two-year note. Any investor could have realized a higher yield for tying up their money for only two years rather than for five years. The yield curve—which plots the interest rates for Treasuries of varying maturities—is not supposed to work this…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Surges to a 5½-Year High

Pessimism among individual investors jumped to its highest level in more than five and a half years in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Optimism plunged, and neutral sentiment declined. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, fell 17.0 percentage points to 20.9%. Optimism was last lower on May 25,…