Too Much Confidence Is Bad for Your Portfolio

Higher levels of confidence about one’s ability to invest lead to worse returns. I realize that this may seem counterintuitive to some of you, but this is the conclusion of a study accepted by the Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance (an earlier version of the study is available on SSRN). It’s yet another example of…

 

Notes From the Morningstar Investment Conference

This week, Morningstar held its annual Investment Conference. Attended primarily by financial advisers, the conference is notable for both its size and its mutual fund focus (though there were sessions on other topics). This week, I’ll share some of my notes and observations. You’ll see a few articles resulting from meetings I had at the…

 

Investor Update: Two Key Points About the Fed’s Rate Hike

Much of the chatter about yesterday’s interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve overlooks two key points. First, over the past 61 years, stocks have tended to rise during the 12-month period following the first rate hike. Secondly, it’s different this time. Put asterisks by both of those statements. I’ll start with the reassuring news….