AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Reaches a Post-Election High

Pessimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of stock prices is at its highest level in more than four months. At the same time, optimism is near, though slightly below, its long-term average. The survey period runs from Thursday through Wednesday. Most of the votes were recorded before yesterday, when the Dow Jones industrial…

 

Record Highs Don’t Shake Allocations for Over Half of Surveyed Investors

Last month’s Asset Allocation Survey special question asked AAII members why or why not record highs (such as the Dow’s rise above 20,000) influence their asset allocation decisions. Slightly more than half of all respondents (53%) said that they do not alter their allocations in reaction to record highs, though their reasons varied. Several said…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Neutral Sentiment Rises to Highest Level Since Early November

The percentage of individual investors describing their short-term market outlook as “neutral” decreased from last week, while pessimism has now been above 30% for three consecutive weeks for the first time since the election, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Optimism bounced back slightly after declining three weeks in a row. Bullish sentiment, expectations…

 

Putting Dow 20,000 Into Context

Trying to put the Dow Jones industrial average’s rise above 20,000 into context is not easy. In the grand scheme of things, 20,000 is no more significant than, say, the first time the index crossed above 19,600 or any other random number. It just feels important and has been getting much attention (not to mention…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Neutral Sentiment Rises to Highest Level Since Early November

The percentage of individual investors describing their short-term market outlook as “neutral” is at its highest level since the election, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Pessimism is also higher, while optimism has continued to pull back. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, fell 5.4 percentage points…

 

Dow 20,000 Shows How Bad We Are at Analyzing Numbers

All of the hoopla being given to the Dow Jones industrial average reaching 20,000 shows how bad we humans are at analyzing numbers. We’re drawn to the number, because it is recognizable and easy to remember. It also looks big compared to previous milestones such as 5,000 or 10,000. Unfortunately, Dow 20,000 is a distraction…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Neutral Sentiment Rebounds

Neutral sentiment rebounded from last week’s two-year low in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Furthermore, pessimism among individual investors declined, while optimism remained nearly unchanged. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, is 44.6%, a very slight decline of 0.1 percentage points. This is the sixth consecutive week optimism…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Jumps to Nearly 47%

Optimism about the short-term direction of stock prices continues to rise, reaching its highest level in 21 months. At the same time, neutral sentiment fell a two-year low in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Pessimism is also lower. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, jumped 7.8 percentage points…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Neutral Sentiment Rises to Two-Month High

The percentage of individual investors describing their short-term outlook for stocks as “neutral” is at its highest level in two months, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. At the same time, optimism is back below 30%. Pessimism is lower as well. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months,…