AAII Journal January 2017 Issue Now Available

Feature Article: Downward Estimate Revisions Screen Tops Unconventional Year Bucking its historical trend during a year marked by unusual events, Estimates Revisions Lowest 30 Down was the top-performing AAII screen of 2016.   In This Issue: Stock Strategies: Deep Value Investing Has Not Gone Out of Style An updated version of Benjamin Graham’s Deep Value…

 

Earnings Estimates’ Effect on Stock Prices

One of the most-discussed stock screens on the AAII discussion boards is Estimate Revisions: Up 5%. The screen seeks out companies with a one-month increase in the consensus earnings estimate for the current year of 5% or more. A post about the screen currently has 86 responses. Earnings estimates are forecasts made by analysts about how…

 

5 Common Traits of Successful Value Screens

This week’s AAII Weekly Digest highlights these “must-read” AAII articles: Top 3 Sites for Consensus Analyst Estimates The editors of AAII’s Computerized Investing have compiled their list of the top sites for consensus analyst estimates. This time-saving service lets you cut through the “noise”—sites with mediocre information—and focus on those that offer the best information to…

 

AAII’s Top 10 Articles for July 2016

Here are the Top 10 articles from AAII.com for July 2016 (based on unique page views):   The Top 10 Economic Indicators: What to Watch and Why Everyone wants to keep a pulse on the economy, but no one wants to wade through the massive volume of statistics. A look at the top 10 economic…

 

AAII’s Top Articles for April 2016

Here are the Top 10 articles from AAII.com for April 2016 (based on unique page views): The Top 10 Economic Indicators: What to Watch and Why Everyone wants to keep a pulse on the economy, but no one wants to wade through the massive volume of statistics. A look at the top 10 economic indicators…

 

How Impactful Are Changes in Analyst Ratings?

Before you give into any temptation to follow analysts’ recommendations, consider this conclusion from three researchers: “On average, analysts’ revisions are not highly correlated with subsequent long-run returns, indicating that analysts do not provide new information that is relevant for the long run for typical investors.” The finding is from an appropriately named paper published…

 

Earnings Estimates: A Primer

This article originally appeared in the May 2015 issue of the AAI Journal. Earnings estimates are the profit forecasts made by brokerage firm analysts. The consensus earnings estimate is the average of all published forecasts for a specific company or index. The consensus earnings estimate is compiled by a small number of companies, such as Thomson…