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The percentage of individual investors describing their market outlook as “neutral” is now at its lowest level in more than two years, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Pessimism extended its rebound, and optimism is higher as well. Bullish sentiment,...

Weekly Market Summary This week saw U.S. stocks, for the most part, continue their upward march in the wake of Donald Trump’s presidential election victory. Major indexes hit record highs and the U.S. dollar, as measured by the U.S. Dollar Index, climbed to a 13-year high. It...

Bond yields have suddenly found themselves in the financial headlines. Since Donald Trump became president-elect, the yield on the 10-year Treasury has risen from 1.86% on Election Day to a near-term closing high of 2.22% on Tuesday. That is nearly a half-percentage point jump in...

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what factors are most influencing their six-month outlook for stocks now that the elections are over. Not surprisingly, many said president-elect Donald Trump. Slightly more than one out of every four respondents...

On behalf of everyone at AAII, I want to say thank you to all of you who have served or are currently serving in the military. The stock market will be open Friday, Veterans Day, but banks and government offices will be closed. Big, unexpected events commonly trigger strong emotional...

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members how the possibility of a December rate hike by the Federal Reserve is impacting their sentiment towards stocks. Nearly two-thirds (65%) of respondents said that a rate hike will have no or only very little change...

Seemingly overlooked in all of the hubbub about a possible rate hike occurring at the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is the longer-term trend of falling growth forecasts. FOMC members have collectively reduced their real (“inflation-adjusted”) long-run...

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members for their opinion about how clearly the Federal Reserve is communicating its monetary policy intentions. More than four out of every 10 respondents (44%) are not satisfied with the Fed’s communication about monetary...

A new stock screen I created omits one characteristic that may surprise some (or perhaps many) of you: growth. Nothing in the screen requires a passing company to be growing revenues or profits. It is an admitted deviation from how I’ve previously looked for stocks. I’m not...

The percentage of individual investors expressing pessimism about the short-term direction of the stock market is at its highest level since February. This week’s AAII Sentiment Survey also shows a slight increase in neutral sentiment and a further decline in optimism. Bullish...