Insights From Conversations With Great Investors

Warren Buffett said that among the lessons he learned from Benjamin Graham was that “price is what you pay, value is what you get.” Though Buffett used the phrase in a discussion about bonds and stocks in his 2008 letter to Berkshire-Hathaway shareholders, the adage applies to many other objects. One such object is the…

 

Earnings Estimates’ Effect on Stock Prices

One of the most-discussed stock screens on the AAII discussion boards is Estimate Revisions: Up 5%. The screen seeks out companies with a one-month increase in the consensus earnings estimate for the current year of 5% or more. A post about the screen currently has 86 responses. Earnings estimates are forecasts made by analysts about how…

 

Do You Need Growth for Successful Stock Picking?

A new stock screen I created omits one characteristic that may surprise some (or perhaps many) of you: growth. Nothing in the screen requires a passing company to be growing revenues or profits. It is an admitted deviation from how I’ve previously looked for stocks. I’m not alone in omitting growth. The four AAII Stock…

 

A Request to Parents of Gen Xers and Baby Boomers

To parents of my fellow Generation X members, as well as parents of Baby Boomers, we—your adult sons and daughters—want to hear from you. We want to know how your health is. We want to know how financially stable you are. We want to hear about any potential problems as soon as they occur, not…

 

Retirement Can Be Long Enough for Something to Go Haywire

An interesting point was brought up at this week’s CFA Institute’s Financial Analysts Seminar: retirement is a long enough period of time for something to go haywire. The point was brought up by Barton Waring, a retired chief investor officer for Barclays (which is now BlackRock). He raised the topic during a discussion about retirement…

 

The Debate Over Retirement Income Strategies

As millions of baby boomers are either retiring or nearing retirement, there is an ongoing debate on how to manage one’s portfolio heading into and once in retirement. Here’s a glimpse into it: While at last week’s Morningstar Investment Conference, I tweeted a comment made by Morningstar’s David Blanchett about the likelihood of success for…

 

What You Need to Know About Crowdfunding

Effective this week, just about anyone in the U.S. can play the role of venture capitalist. New crowdfunding rules went into effect on Monday that allow non-accredited investors to risk up to $2,000 or 5% of their annual income or net worth (whichever is less) in a start-up company during a 12-month period. Those with…

 

Where the NASDAQ Is Less Likely to Close At

Call up a one-year chart of the NASDAQ Composite index and you’ll notice a line of support and resistance around 4,900. Extend the chart to cover three years, and a second support/resistance line appears at approximately 4,600. Those support/resistance areas may not be not completely attributable to randomness. The authors of a manuscript accepted by…

 

Coping With the Frustrating Market

Mr. Market started 2016 on the wrong foot, and his mood has gotten worse throughout this month. Barring a big rebound next week, this will be the third consecutive year the S&P 500 has declined in January—something that has only happened two other times since 1950. The index may also come close to breaking, or…

 

Investor Update: Two Key Points About the Fed’s Rate Hike

Much of the chatter about yesterday’s interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve overlooks two key points. First, over the past 61 years, stocks have tended to rise during the 12-month period following the first rate hike. Secondly, it’s different this time. Put asterisks by both of those statements. I’ll start with the reassuring news….