AAII Sentiment Survey: Neutral Sentiment Rises as Pessimism Pulls Back

Pessimism among individual investors is down for the second consecutive week, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. At the same time, neutral sentiment is now at its highest level since mid-February. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 4.1 percentage points to 35.3%. The historical average is…

 

The Fed-Trump Divergence

To the surprise of almost no one, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced that it raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (0.25%) to the range of 0.75% to 1.0%. This was the third interest rate hike in a decade, but the second since December. This seems to signal that the Federal…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Declines While Neutral and Bullish Sentiment Rise

Pessimism among individual investors fell from last week’s AAII Sentiment Survey, while bullish and neutral sentiment rose. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rose over the next six months, rose 1.2 percentage points, to 31.2%. Despite the slight increase, bullish sentiment remains below its historical average of 38.5% for the third week in a…

 

Readers Chime in on Possible Impact of Consumer Debt on Economy, Stock Market

According to The World Bank, global growth is projected to rise to 2.7% in 2017 after expanding by a post-financial-crisis-low 2.3% in 2016. The organization expects growth in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) to pick up in 2017. However, it also sees downside risks to global growth: increasing policy uncertainty in major advanced economies…

 

U.S. Indexes Mark 25-Year Milestone

Please note that U.S. markets will be closed on Monday, February 20, in observance of Washington’s Birthday (President’s Day). AAII offices will also be closed. This week saw several market indexes notch multiple all-time highs. The Dow Jones industrial average recorded its fifth consecutive record close on Wednesday, the second such streak in roughly two…

 

Vanguard’s Dynamic Spending Strategy for Retirees

This week’s AAII Weekly Digest highlights these “must-read” AAII articles:   Vanguard’s Dynamic Spending Strategy for Retirees A number of spending rules—each emphasizing different goals—have been developed to help retirees deal with changes in their individual circumstances and in the markets. Vanguard’s hybrid approach adjusts withdrawals within preset limits, allowing retirees to benefit from good…

 

Nearly 37% of Polled Investors End Year With Expected Allocations

Last month’s Asset Allocation Survey special question asked AAII members how their allocations as of December 2016 compared to what they expected their allocations would look like at the start of the year. Nearly 37% of respondents said their allocations were similar to what they had anticipated they would be. Slightly more than 18% had…

 

AAII Asset Allocation Survey: 17-Month Low for Fixed-Income Allocations

Bonds and bond funds accounted for the lowest percentage of individual investors’ portfolios in 17 months, according to the December AAII Asset Allocation Survey. Cash allocations rose last month, while equity allocations were barely changed. Stock and stock fund allocations declined by a very modest 0.1 percentage points, to 66.3%. December was the 45th consecutive…

 

More Than 40% of Surveyed Investors Unaffected by Rate Hike

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what impact the possibility of additional rate hikes occurring in 2017 has on their market outlook. Slightly more than two out of five respondents (42%) say that the prospect of future rate hikes either doesn’t impact their outlook or only has a minor influence. Many of…