The Incredibly Shrinking Fed Growth Forecasts

Seemingly overlooked in all of the hubbub about a possible rate hike occurring at the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is the longer-term trend of falling growth forecasts. FOMC members have collectively reduced their real (“inflation-adjusted”) long-run GDP growth forecasts for at least five consecutive years. The current long-run forecast calls for 1.80%…

 

Where the NASDAQ Is Less Likely to Close At

Call up a one-year chart of the NASDAQ Composite index and you’ll notice a line of support and resistance around 4,900. Extend the chart to cover three years, and a second support/resistance line appears at approximately 4,600. Those support/resistance areas may not be not completely attributable to randomness. The authors of a manuscript accepted by…

 

AAII Investor Update: Binary Option Contracts, A Really Bad Idea

Companies are very aware of our tendency, as humans, to overestimate the odds of making money. They use this to their advantage by pitching products and services as money-making opportunities that in reality are highly effective tools for separating us from our money. One bad idea for a financial product brought to my attention in…