The Yield Curve Is Getting Flatter

The stock market endured a mini tantrum on Tuesday in response to a rise in bond yields. The Wall Street Journal described the 10-year Treasury note’s yield as experiencing its largest one-day increase since March 2017. The rise was big enough to cause the benchmark note to end the day with its highest yield in…

 

Picking a Rate of Return to Use for Long-Term Planning

This week’s AAII Weekly Digest highlights these “must-read” AAII articles:   Searching for Future Stock Market Winners A study of past big winners identified common traits centered around value, earnings growth and price momentum. The process of creating a stock selection strategy based on characteristics that have worked well in the past must take into…

 

May AAII Journal Update

Feature Article » The Basics of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) by Jaclyn N. McClellan These investment trusts provide direct exposure to real estate and are required to distribute at least 90% of their taxable income.   Portfolio Strategies » The Impact of Saving Versus Return on Wealth by Craig Israelsen Younger savers benefit more…

 

Revisiting the Lakonishok Approach to Patient Value Investing

This week’s AAII Weekly Digest highlights these “must-read” AAII articles:   EPS Revision Screen Building a screen to isolate S&P 1500 members with price-earnings ratios below their five-year average high and rising earnings estimates. Revisiting the Lakonishok Approach to Patient Value Investing Josef Lakonishok believes value outperforms growth because investors don’t expect much from value…

 

Keep Calm and Ignore the Market’s Volatility

Lately, friends and acquaintances have been bringing up the stock market’s volatility in conversation. While it’s always possible for me to be an outlier, I suspect in this case that I’m not. The magnitude of the moves is one reason market volatility is a topic of conversation. I suspect many people still view a 200-point…

 

April AAII Journal Update

The April 2018 AAII Journal is Now Available Online.   Feature Article » Are You Spending Too Little in Retirement? by Meir Statman While mental tools and self-control are useful when saving, in retirement, they can stop us from spending on ourselves and family.   Financial Planning » Social Security and Medicare Can Raise Retirees’…

 

Quality Can Help Put the Odds in Your Favor

Let’s start this week’s commentary with a hypothetical scenario: A person you trust says they have two stock picks for you. Both stocks are expected to rise in price. The charts for each stock are showing similar formations and the recent news seems equally positive. You only have enough available cash to buy one of…

 

The January 2018 AAII Journal is Now Available Online.

  Feature Article » Polar Opposite: MAGNET Complex Goes From Bottom to Top in 2017 by Wayne A. Thorp, CFA Our annual review of the AAII screening strategies finds MAGNET Complex on top after being the worst performer in 2016.   Portfolio Strategies » Insights on Using the 4% Withdrawal Rule From Its Creator by…

 

Using Sell Signals to Improve Results

This week’s AAII Weekly Digest highlights these “must-read” AAII articles:   Model Shadow Stock Portfolio: Special Update and Rule Changes Ahead of the next quarterly review of the Model Shadow Stock Portfolio, which will take place at the end of this month, AAII’s chairman James Cloonan reveals some key changes to the selection rules used…