Valuation’s Usefulness for Forecasting and Setting Asset Allocation

Dividend yields, price-earnings ratios and cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratios have long been used to forecast long-term stock returns, which may lead some investors to believe that these multiples can also be valuable tools for asset allocation. A dividend yield (D/P) is defined as a company’s dividends per share divided by the current stock price; a…

 

Retired Investor: Getting Through Difficult Markets

We all want to achieve retirement security—and to maintain our sanity during volatile market periods. If we could only predict tomorrow’s markets, we would handily satisfy these needs—we would be able to sell before a market decline and buy at the bottom. Truth be told, probably the single most important element of successful investing is…

 

May SSR Portfolio Update

There is one portfolio deletion and one portfolio addition for the SSR tracking portfolio in May. For more information on this month’s portfolio changes, read the May SSR Monthly Report. April Market Recap Geopolitics dominated the financial headlines in April. Rising tensions between the U.S and North Korea have had world markets on edge in…

 

Weaker-Than-Expected Car Sales Have Ripple Effect for SSR Portfolio

Car sales fell unexpectedly in March, boosting fears about bloated inventories and pricing pressure in an industry that many see as a key driver of the U.S. economy. This also reignited concerns about a subprime auto-loan bubble. Automotive industry analysts were expecting automakers to report increased sales in March compared to a year ago, which…

 

How to Take Your Emotions Out of the Sell Decision

Facing criticism from a colleague over modifications he made in his economic analysis, the famous British economist John Maynard Keynes once said: “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?” Keynes’ question is a relevant one for investors. Unless you are a buy-and-hold-forever investor, you will frequently be faced with…

 

April Changes to SSR Portfolio

We have posted our monthly changes to the SSR tracking portfolio. For more information on this month’s deletion and addition, read the April SSR Monthly Report. March Market Recap With the fourth-quarter earnings season all but finished, and with the consensus that the Fed won’t be raising interest rates again until at least June, investors and traders…

 

Trump Issues Ultimatum on Health Care Reform as Legislative Agenda Hangs in the Balance

U.S. stocks turned in their weakest weekly performance since before the November presidential election. The S&P 500 saw its first move of more than 1%—up or down—since December 7 and notched its first daily decline of more than 1% in 110 trading days, dating back to October 11. The SSR portfolio saw its poorest weekly…

 

Building a Balanced Portfolio: An Unconventional Allocation

It is easy to make money when the stock market is soaring. You really don’t need to read this article to prosper during those favorable environments. However, as experienced investors know, the key to long-term financial success is to survive the troughs. How does your portfolio perform during severe downturns? How vulnerable is it to…

 

Dow 21,000 Reached in Record Time

Just seven weeks ago in this column, I was discussing how the Dow’s inability to cross the 20,000 barrier had reached historic proportions. At that time, the Dow had traded within 1% of the 20,000 mark for 23 days. Eventually, it took 30 days after getting within 1% of 20,000 for the Dow to crack…

 

March Changes to SSR Portfolio

We have posted our monthly changes to the SSR tracking portfolio. For more information on this month’s deletion and addition, read the March SSR Monthly Report. February Market Recap The momentum of U.S. stocks that took hold in the aftermath of the November election continued onward in February. Through Friday’s close, the iShares DJ U.S. ETF…