Valuation’s Usefulness for Forecasting and Setting Asset Allocation

Dividend yields, price-earnings ratios and cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratios have long been used to forecast long-term stock returns, which may lead some investors to believe that these multiples can also be valuable tools for asset allocation. A dividend yield (D/P) is defined as a company’s dividends per share divided by the current stock price; a…

 

Over One in Four Respondents See Stocks as Overvalued

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what their comfort level is with the current valuations of stocks. Slightly more than one out of four respondents (26%) view stock prices as being overvalued. An additional 22% said that they are either uncomfortable with current valuations or that stocks are somewhat overvalued. The lack…