AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Stays Below 30%

The percentage of individual investors expecting stocks to rise in price is below 30% for a second consecutive week. The latest AAII Sentiment Survey also shows a rise in neutral sentiment and a decline in pessimism. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, is modestly higher (0.7 percentage points)…

 

Rate Hikes, Inflation and What You Earn

Yesterday’s interest rate hike by the Federal Open Market Committee was the third in a 15-month period. More notably, it was just the third rate hike since the financial crisis. The rate hike represents another step in the (so far) very gradual removal of stimulus. At current levels, rates remain low on a historical basis…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Neutral Sentiment Rises to Highest Level Since Early November

The percentage of individual investors describing their short-term market outlook as “neutral” decreased from last week, while pessimism has now been above 30% for three consecutive weeks for the first time since the election, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Optimism bounced back slightly after declining three weeks in a row. Bullish sentiment, expectations…

 

AAII Asset Allocation Survey: Cash Holdings Fall to a 16-Month Low

Individual investors have reduced their cash holdings, on a percentage basis, to the smallest amount since the spring of 2015, according to the November AAII Asset Allocation Survey. Fixed-income allocations declined as well. Conversely, equity allocations rose to their second-highest level of the year. Stock and stock fund allocations rose 1.7 percentage points to 66.4%….

 

Q3 Earnings Have Modest to No Impact on Investors’ Outlook

Last week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members how third-quarter earnings have impacted their market outlook. Responses were very mixed. The largest group of respondents (28%) said that third-quarter earnings did not have any impact or had little impact on their market outlook. Many of these respondents said the election’s outcome was more influential….

 

Surveyed Members Mixed on Current Dividend Yields

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members for their opinion of the dividend yields that stocks currently trade at. Responses varied. The largest group of respondents (23%) described dividends as currently being too low. Several said that the low dividends indicate high valuations for stocks. Slightly more than 12% felt that dividend yields…

 

Tech, Dividends & Utilities Seen as Overvalued

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what sectors, if any, they think are overvalued right now. Technology (10% of respondents), dividend payers (9%) and utilities (8%) were the most-listed sectors and segments. (Some respondents listed more than one sector.) Nearly 15% of respondents said that either all or most sectors are currently…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Rebounds

Pessimism among individual investors about stock prices dropping rebounded in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. The rise in bearish sentiment occurred as both bullish sentiment and neutral sentiment fell. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, fell 3.3 percentage points to 25.5%. The drop puts optimism below its historical…

 

Members Weigh in on NASDAQ High, With Mixed Opinions

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what they thought about the NASDAQ setting a record high record high last week. Responses were mixed. About 21% thought the new record high was a positive event. Another 5% said the record high was expected to eventually occur. On the other side of the spectrum,…

 

Half of Surveyed Investors Believe Valuations Too High

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what their comfort level is with the current valuations of stocks. Slightly more than half of all respondents (51%) described valuations as being too high. Among the reasons cited were insufficient earnings growth to support the valuations, slow economic growth, and current valuations being higher than…