Hint of Upcoming “Phenomenal” Tax Announcement Sends Indexes to New All-Time Highs This Week

Weekly Market Summary Fiscal and monetary policy, as well as employment data, guided the market this week. Comments from President Donald Trump promising the release of a “phenomenal” tax announcement in the next “two or three weeks” sent shares soaring to new all-time highs on Thursday and carried over to Friday. In addition, St. Louis…

 

How to Keep Headlines From Driving Your Portfolio Decisions

On behalf of everyone at AAII, I want to say thank you to all of you who have served or are currently serving in the military. The stock market will be open Friday, Veterans Day, but banks and government offices will be closed. Big, unexpected events commonly trigger strong emotional reactions. The wiring in our…

 

Market Movement’s Impact on Portfolio Rebalancing

Sometimes, the market does the hard work for you. Such is the case with my 403(b) account, which is similar to a 401(k) account. Over the weekend, I looked at it for the first time in six months. I could have easily skipped doing so because Mr. Market took care of things for me. There…

 

Earnings Estimates’ Effect on Stock Prices

One of the most-discussed stock screens on the AAII discussion boards is Estimate Revisions: Up 5%. The screen seeks out companies with a one-month increase in the consensus earnings estimate for the current year of 5% or more. A post about the screen currently has 86 responses. Earnings estimates are forecasts made by analysts about how…

 

The Incredibly Shrinking Fed Growth Forecasts

Seemingly overlooked in all of the hubbub about a possible rate hike occurring at the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is the longer-term trend of falling growth forecasts. FOMC members have collectively reduced their real (“inflation-adjusted”) long-run GDP growth forecasts for at least five consecutive years. The current long-run forecast calls for 1.80%…

 

Do You Need Growth for Successful Stock Picking?

A new stock screen I created omits one characteristic that may surprise some (or perhaps many) of you: growth. Nothing in the screen requires a passing company to be growing revenues or profits. It is an admitted deviation from how I’ve previously looked for stocks. I’m not alone in omitting growth. The four AAII Stock…

 

What is the Most Tax-Efficient Investment?

An AAII member recently asked, “What is the most tax-efficient investment?” Before you answer, stop and give the question some thought. The answer is not as straightforward as it may seem. A few factors influence the tax efficiency of investing. One, of course, is the type of investment. Municipal bonds receive very favorable tax treatment,…

 

Planning for the Financial Impact of Alzheimer’s and Dementia

Though the impact of Alzheimer’s disease on families and friends from a lifestyle and emotional standpoint has been well-documented, little research has been done into the financial impact of caring for some afflicted by the disease. To determine the impact, the Alzheimer’s Association conducted a nationwide survey. The results are discussed in the association’s 2016…

 

Two Traits that Give Active Mutual Funds an Edge

American Funds says that some actively managed funds are better than passive (index) funds. Specifically, the company argues that actively managed funds with low expense ratios and high levels of manager ownership (a group that Amercian Funds calls “Select Active”) outperform their index peers. The outperformance is evident over one-, three-, five-, and 10-year rolling…