AAII Sentiment Survey: Neutral Sentiment Above 40% for Third Week

The proportion of individual investors describing their outlook for stock prices as “neutral” is above 40% for a third consecutive week. This is the first such streak in nearly a year. The latest AAII Sentiment Survey also shows small declines in both optimism and pessimism. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the…

 

Bulls Continue to Recover in Mixed Market

Weekly Market Summary Two major news events failed to generate much response from the U.S. market this week: the Congressional testimony of former FBI Director James Comey and the Parliamentary election in the U.K. While Comey’s testimony didn’t paint the president in the most favorable light, there were no bombshell revelations that some were hoping…

 

Much Ado About Nothing

At the start of the week, market watchers were anxiously anticipating two seemingly major events: the Congressional testimony of former FBI Director James Comey and the Parliamentary election in the U.K. At least in the near term, both events turned out to be more flash than substance. In terms of Comey’s Senate testimony, there were…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Rebounds

Optimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of stock prices rebounded to its highest level in two months. At the same time, the percentage of investors describing their outlooks as either neutral or pessimistic fell. All three sentiment indicators are now near their historical averages. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over…

 

Investors Mixed on Potential Impact of Trump-Era Policies

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members to explain how the success or failure of the Trump administration’s proposed policies influence their outlook for stock prices. Responses were mixed. Nearly one out of four respondents (24%) think the president’s policies will have a positive impact, particularly those policies that go beyond health care…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Nearly One in Four Bearish

Pessimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of stock prices rose to nearly 40%, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. At the same time, optimism fell below 30%. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, fell 1.9 percentage points to 28.3%. This is the 11th time out…

 

The Fed-Trump Divergence

To the surprise of almost no one, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced that it raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (0.25%) to the range of 0.75% to 1.0%. This was the third interest rate hike in a decade, but the second since December. This seems to signal that the Federal…

 

Politics Affecting Nearly 75% of Surveyed Investors’ Outlooks

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members what factors are most influencing their six-month outlook for stocks. Nearly three-quarters of respondents (73%) cited national politics, particularly President Donald Trump’s polices and what actions Congress may take. Tax reform was mentioned by many (20% of respondents), followed by regulatory reform and uncertainty over what…

 

Record Highs Don’t Shake Allocations for Over Half of Surveyed Investors

Last month’s Asset Allocation Survey special question asked AAII members why or why not record highs (such as the Dow’s rise above 20,000) influence their asset allocation decisions. Slightly more than half of all respondents (53%) said that they do not alter their allocations in reaction to record highs, though their reasons varied. Several said…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Rebounds to a Six-Week High

Optimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of the stock market is at a six-week high, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. The rebound is occurring as neutral sentiment is at a seven-week low. Pessimism, however, is essentially unchanged from a week ago and remains above its historical average. Bullish sentiment, expectations that…