Tariffs and the Market Environment

As the bull market nears its ninth anniversary, the backdrop is evolving. This year has already seen more days with the S&P 500 index closing up or down by 1% or more than we saw during all of last year. Deflation—a concern not so long ago—has been replaced by worries about inflation and a potential…

 

Rate Hike Fails to Shake 60% of Surveyed Investors

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members how the FOMC’s raising of interest rates has impacted their market outlook. Approximately 60% of respondents said that the rate hikes are having no or very little impact on their outlook and/or their portfolio decisions. Many of these respondents said that last week’s announcement by the…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Neutral Sentiment Rises as Pessimism Pulls Back

Pessimism among individual investors is down for the second consecutive week, according to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. At the same time, neutral sentiment is now at its highest level since mid-February. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 4.1 percentage points to 35.3%. The historical average is…

 

Rate Hike Possibility Not Affecting Surveyed Investors

This week’s Sentiment Survey special question asked AAII members how the possibility of a December rate hike by the Federal Reserve is impacting their sentiment towards stocks. Nearly two-thirds (65%) of respondents said that a rate hike will have no or only very little change on their sentiment and/or portfolios. Many of these respondents view…

 

AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Surges; At Highest Level in a Year

Optimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of the stock market surged to its highest level since last November in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Neutral sentiment plunged to its lowest level in more than 10 months. Bearish sentiment is lower as well. Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next…

 

Members Welcome Fed’s Rate Hike

With the Sentiment Survey during the week before Christmas, we asked AAII members for their thoughts about the Federal Reserve’s recent rate hike. More than 37% of respondents agreed with or approved of the rate hike. Nearly 29% said it was either about time to raise rates or that the rate hike was overdue. About…